The Signal and the Noise

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Beschrijving

Titel en schrijver
The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver
ISBN nr.
978-1-59420-411-1
Uitgeverij, drukjaar en drukversie
Uitgeverij The Penguin Press, 2012, Eerste druk
Paperback of hardcover
Hardcover
Aantal pagina’s
534 pagina’s
Taal en categorie
Engels, Studieboeken
Korte samenvatting
The Signal and the Noise:

In this book Silver explores the world of prediction. He talks about how we can pick certain data over others when it comes to attempting to make an accurate prediction.

In doing this, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in multiple topics, from Baseball to the NBA and from Poker to the stock market. He explains how these forecasters think and what they have in common.

He also dives into the concept of how it sometimes isn’t about how good a prediction is in how much it matters, but how good it is compared to the competition. The most accurate forecasters tend to have a much better idea of what is more predictable and what isn’t, and how they are able to notice countless little details that leads them closer to the truth. Shortly put, they can distinguish the signal from the noise.

Over de auteur
Nate Silver is an American statistician, writer and founder of the New York Times political blog FiveThirtyEight.com. Silver also developed PECOTA, a system dedicated to predicting baseball performances.

After Silver sucessfully predicted the outcome of forty-nine out of fifty states in the 2008 United States presidential election, he was named one of the world’s one-hundred most influential people by time in 2009. In the 2012 presidential election he succesfully predicted the winner of all fifty states.

Nate has since left the New York Times and joined the ESPN instead. He lives in Brooklyn, New York.

Recensies
The New York Times Book Review: ”One of the more momentous books of the decade”

Daily Telegraph: ”A surprisingly accessible peek into the world of mathematical probability”

Sunday Telegraph: ”The inhabitants of Westminster are speed-reading this book… They will find it remarkable and rewarding”

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